TRX Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path Amid Market Volatility

#TRX

• Bullish Technical Posture: TRX is trading above its key 20-day moving average, with its price positioned in the middle of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting stable short-term momentum without excessive volatility.
• Counterbalancing Market Forces: Sentiment is mixed between a broader cryptocurrency market downturn and TRX-specific positive developments, including a major token withdrawal by founder Justin Sun and long-term bullish projections.
• Distant Price Target: The $1 price target represents a gain of over 250% from current levels, which is an extremely ambitious goal requiring catalysts far beyond the current technical and fundamental setup.

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Shows Bullish Momentum Above Key Moving Average

According to technical data for TRX/USDT as of December 5, 2025, the cryptocurrency is trading at $0.2846, which is notably above its 20-day moving average of $0.28132. 'This positioning above the MA is a classic bullish signal in the short term,' notes Robert, a financial analyst at BTCC. The MACD indicator, currently at 0.003276, remains positive, suggesting underlying buying pressure is present, although the negative histogram value of -0.002397 indicates some near-term momentum has weakened. The price is comfortably within the Bollinger Bands, with the upper band at $0.2925 and the lower at $0.2701, indicating a period of consolidation without extreme volatility. The current setup suggests support is firm around the $0.281 level, with immediate resistance near $0.2925.

Market Sentiment: Mixed Signals Amid Broader Sell-Off and Whale Activity

Market sentiment for TRX is receiving mixed signals from recent headlines. The broader market, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, is experiencing a sell-off, which typically creates a headwind for altcoins like TRX. However, a significant coordinated move by Tron founder Justin Sun, who withdrew 100 million TRX from Binance, is drawing attention. 'Large, coordinated withdrawals from exchanges by known figures are often interpreted as a reduction in immediate selling pressure or preparation for a strategic move, which can be a counterbalancing bullish factor,' explains Robert. Furthermore, articles highlighting TRX among top cryptos to watch for 2026 suggest sustained long-term interest. The net sentiment is cautiously optimistic for TRX specifically, as it may be somewhat insulated from the broader crash by its unique news flow.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

Why Are Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Crashing Today?

Cryptocurrencies faced a sharp downturn as Bitcoin retreated toward $90,000, Ethereum slid to $3,090, and XRP dropped to $2.06. The broader market followed suit, with BNB falling to $888 and Solana weakening to $135. TRON, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Bitcoin Cash also lost ground, signaling a broad-based retreat.

The sell-off followed fading expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investor Kevin O’Leary highlighted persistent inflation, new tariffs, and labor market concerns as reasons for the Fed to maintain higher rates—a headwind for risk assets like crypto.

Adding to the pressure, a MicroStrategy-linked entity moved 1.47 million Bitcoin-related shares into Fidelity custody. Similar institutional moves preceded major sell-offs in the past, stoking fears of further downside.

Top 10 Cryptos to Watch in 2026 for Massive ROI (Including Fast-Growing Presales)

The crypto market is evolving rapidly as 2026 approaches, with established players like BNB, TRON, XRP, and Bitcoin Cash maintaining stability while emerging presales such as BlockchainFX, Bitcoin Hyper, PepeNode, Maxi Doge, and Liquid Chain capture investor attention. These projects represent the next wave of innovation, blending early-stage potential with tangible utility.

BlockchainFX (BFX) stands out with $11.8M raised from 19,100+ participants, nearing its $12M soft cap. Priced at $0.03, BFX distinguishes itself through regulatory compliance, holding a verified trading license from the Anjouan Offshore Finance Authority. Its live beta app enables multi-asset trading across crypto, stocks, and forex—a rare combination of DeFi accessibility and traditional market integration.

Justin Sun Withdraws 100 Million TRX From Binance in Coordinated Move

Justin Sun, founder of Tron, executed a high-value transfer involving TRX and USDT today. A wallet linked to Sun withdrew 100 million TRX ($27.96 million) from Binance, followed within minutes by a $5 million USDT deposit to the same address. The precision of these transactions suggests deliberate accumulation.

The wallet now holds 492 million TRX ($137.81 million), reinforcing Sun's bullish stance on the token. Market observers interpret this as a long-term holding strategy rather than short-term speculation. Such substantial movements from influential figures often signal confidence in the asset's future performance.

Will TRX Price Hit 1?

Based on the current technical and fundamental analysis, a move to $1 for TRX in the near to medium term appears highly ambitious and faces significant hurdles. The primary challenge is the sheer magnitude of the required gain: from the current price of approximately $0.2846, TRX would need to appreciate by over 250%.

Here is a summary of the key data and factors: